Tuesday, July 7, 2015

More Guns Do Not Lead To More Gun Crime

HEADLINE: Guns Don't Deter Crime, Study Finds

"A new study, however, throws cold water on the idea that a well-armed populace deters criminals or prevents murders. Instead, higher ownership of guns in a state is linked to more firearm robberies, more firearm assaults and more homicide in general."

Oh, my! Let's look at the new study...

Two-year-old 'new' study


Mkay, a nearly two-year-old study is 'new'.

Here's a screen cap of a spreadsheet where I list the states with the lowest gun ownership rates and the states with the highest gun ownership rates along with Brady scores, suicide rates, gun homicide rates and overall murder rates. Gun ownership stats came from the gun control study on how to infiltrate the 'social gun culture' in order to change the culture to support "prudent gun policies that aim to reduce gun ownership..."
Other information is directly from Brady Center, CDC and FBI

Click to enbiggen


Clearly, higher gun ownership rates do not lead to higher gun homicide rates. As a matter of fact, the ten states with lower gun ownership rates have a higher gun homicide rate than the ten states with the highest gun ownership rates.

They found no evidence that states with more households with guns led to timid criminals. In fact, firearm assaults were 6.8 times more common in states with the most guns versus states with the least.

Absolutely this is wrong. Looking at the last column in the spreadsheet we see that the firearm assault rate is 1.19 times higher for the ten states with the highest firearm ownership rates than the ten states with the lowest firearm ownership rates.

Firearm robbery increased with every increase in gun ownership...

No, no, no... As a matter of fact, the ten states with the lowest firearm ownership rates have nearly twice the rate of firearm robbery rates than the ten states with the highest gun ownership rates.

The researchers were able to test whether criminals were simply trading out other weapons for guns, at least in the case of homicide. They weren't. Overall homicide rates were just over 2 times higher in the most gun-owning states...

Again, this is false. Looking at the overall homicide rates, we see that between the two groups, the homicide rate is nearly the same, but more importantly, the overall murder rates are exactly the same. Furthermore, the ten states with the lowest firearm ownership rates have a higher rate of firearm homicide than do the states with the highest gun ownership rates.

It should be noted that there is a distinction between the CDC homicide rates and the FBI murder rates. The CDC includes all homicides, including negligence and lawful self defense. The FBI only includes murder and non-negligent homicides. The CDC rates are estimated based on medical records and the FBI estimates are based on criminal complaints.

Moving on...

"What's known? One, the presence of a gun in the home increases the risk of suicide in that home. "That relationship we really know, no doubt about it," Hemenway said.

Based on the spreadsheet, this seems to be true, it appears that states with more guns have a 2.7 times higher rate of firearm suicide than states with fewer guns. But... Who the hell is anyone to tell anyone how they decide to check out. Whether it be by self harm, participating in risky behavior, or by natural selection?

Also unclear are what policies work best to lower the number of firearms available, Siegel said. He and his colleagues are tackling that question now.

There you have if folks. These 'studies' aren't about reducing the number or rate of gun crime or accidents. They do it to find out how to reduce gun ownership. This explains why all the anti-gun research never correlates to real life statistics.

3 comments:

  1. is this joke, obviously if there is more guns there is crime, with time gun crime is increasing due to increase in number of guns.

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  2. this may be true upto some context but it should not be the ultimate truth

    ReplyDelete
  3. Thanks for the post. The guns look amazing to all but they are not always used efficiently and fulfill the purpose they are meant for. You can also take help from the firearms safety training classes to get guns and licenses legally. Actually the guns must be a safety device only.
    Regards:
    MA Gun License

    ReplyDelete